The Long Run Blog

Critical Thinking on Money, Finance, and Economics

Blaming the Victim

I was chatting with a former regulator and he opened my eyes to an important perspective, so I am going to backpedal a little today. Admittedly, many have been harsh on those who gave money to Madoff for ignoring red flags and being suckered by the phenomenal “too good to be true” returns. Read more »

December 20, 2008 Posted by Brett | Frauds | , , | 2 Comments

Madoff Update

Due to size and shock of this story, it has been all over the web and papers. The Wall Street Journal has an entire page devoted to it. This scandal is every bit as shocking and disruptive as Enron was. Because so much information is becoming available, I see no need to repeat everything the WSJ is reporting (visit their page, the source of the facts below). Instead, I’d like to summarize a few new facts and add a few questions of my own. Read more »

December 16, 2008 Posted by Brett | Frauds | , , | 2 Comments

Madoff’s Ponzi continued

The story just keeps getting more outrageous. The two senior employees who questioned Madoff and uncovered the fraud happen to be his sons. They then turned him in. Imagine their horror at discovering the almost 50-year old family business was a complete fraud? (That assumes they weren’t part of it.) Read more »

December 12, 2008 Posted by Brett | Frauds | , , | 6 Comments

“All just one big lie”

I am utterly shocked at this moment. Really. Though the details are few at this time, it appears Bernard Madoff was arrested today in a $50 billion Ponzi scheme. Madoff started a securities firm in 1960 and grew it by being innovative in the broker-dealer business. Some of his innovations were quite controversial at the time. Read more »

December 11, 2008 Posted by Brett | Frauds | , , | 1 Comment

Velocity

We have had some spirited debate about inflation here at TLRB. One concept that keeps arising is that you can’t have inflation without growth in the money supply. That is, prices are a function of dollars chasing goods. If the number of dollars grows faster than the amount stuff to buy with them, then prices rise. In a recent post, a commenter took me to task (which everyone is welcome to do) for saying “generally speaking, growing demand increases upward price pressures.” I didn’t respond in full because the length of the response is worthy of a post in itself, so here it is. Read more »

December 8, 2008 Posted by Brett | Economics | , , | No Comments Yet

Recession or Depression?

Frequently you hear the definition of a recession as “two consecutive quarters of negative growth in GDP”. While this definition approximates the effects of a recession, it is too simplistic. The National Bureau of Economic Research, or NBER, is the arbiter of the business cycle. When they announce the start or end dates of a recession, those dates are considered the official start/end points of the economic contraction.

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December 3, 2008 Posted by Brett | Economics | , , | 1 Comment

Corporate Jets

This is something that has been bothering me for a while. Recently the attention given to this matter has risen to a level worthy of discussion, so here it is: why are people so disgusted by corporate air travel? When GM, Ford and Chrysler CEOs went to Washington for hearings few weeks ago, no one could stop talking about the fact that they each took corporate jet to D.C. for the hearing. There was nothing but outrage and indignation at the fact that these execs were begging for money but were “wasting” tens of thousands on corporate air travel. How arrogant that they can’t travel commercial along with the rest of us sacrificing peons without stock options. At the very least, don’t they have a PR person whispering in their ear that it would look bad?

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December 1, 2008 Posted by Brett | Economics | , | 9 Comments